Botswana Business Forecast Report Q1 2015, New Report Launched

Real GDP growth will be 4.5% in 2014 and 2015, a downwards revision from our previous forecast of 5.2%. Falling diamond exports, diminishing base effects and ongoing power issues will constrain real GDP growth. Botswana will post a diminishing budget surplus amid rising spending and slowing revenue growth. We forecast a surplus equivalent to 0.8% of GDP in fiscal year 2014/15, falling to 0.1% of GDP in 2016/17. Monetary policy in Botswana will remain accommodative through the close of 2014 and into 2015.

Inflation is contained and will continue to be so in the coming months thanks to the pula’s appreciation against the rand and slowing domestic economic growth. We predict that Botswana’s current account surplus will narrow from 7.0% in 2014 to 5.9% in 2015. Having declined in 2014 we forecast that both goods imports and exports will return to growth in 2015.

Political tensions are heightening in Botswana ahead of general elections, scheduled for October 24. Although we expect the incumbent Botswana Democratic Party to win, the contest is likely to be closer than in previous votes. There is also increasing risk of electoral violence.

The Botswana Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in The Botswana and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of The Botswana’s economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters.

Key Uses

  • Forecast the pace and stability of The Botswana’s economic and industry growth through end-2017.
  • Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
  • Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
  • Contextualise The Botswana’s country risks against regional peers using Publisher’s country comparative Risk Ratings system.
  • Evaluate external threats to doing business in The Botswana, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.
  • The Botswana Business Forecast Report by Publisher includes three major sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook and Business Environment.

Economic Outlook:

How will the Botswanan economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2013-2017?

Publisher provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for The Botswana through end-2017 for more than 50 economic and key industry indicators. We evaluate growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management.

Economic Outlook Contents

The Botswana Business Forecast Report features Publisher’s forecasts with supporting analysis for 2013 through to end-2017, set against government views and Publisher’s evaluation of global and regional prospects.

Key Areas Covered:

Data:

Full 10-year forecasts with data – for key macroeconomic variables including GDP (real growth and per capita), population, inflation, current account balance and the exchange rate.

Publisher’s comprehensive Risk Ratings system – rates each country worldwide for economic and political risk, and rates the business environment, within a global and regional context.

Written Analysis:

  • Economic Activity – real GDP growth, employment, inflation, consumption (retail sales and confidence).
  • Balance of Payments – trade and investment, current and capital account.
  • Monetary Policy – interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates) and inflation (producer price and consumer price).
  • Exchange Rate Policy – currency controls, foreign investment flows, exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves.
  • Fiscal Policy – macroeconomic strategy and policies, government finance and tax reforms.
  • Foreign Direct Investment – approvals, inflows and climate.
  • External Debt – debt profile (short and long-term plus public and private sector exposure).
  • Global Assumptions – forecasts for each year to end-2017 covering: major commodities, growth in key regions, inflation, and interest and exchange rates, in the United States, Japan, China and the eurozone.

Key Benefits

  • Rely upon Publisher’s 100% independent forecast scenarios for The Botswana and underlying assumptions – we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
  • Exploit the benefits of Publisher’s comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on The Botswana, sourced and fully maintained by Publisher from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
  • Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy, which could significantly affect your company’s business prospects, from Publisher’s team of analysts and economists.

Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in The Botswana over the next 5-years?

Publisher’s The Botswana country Risk Ratings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats to political stability.

Political Outlook Contents

  • SWOT Analysis for the Botswanan Market – Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing The Botswana.
  • Political Stability and Risk Assessment – Publisher’s Risk Ratings assess explicit short- and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for The Botswana’s risk are compared with regional and global averages.
  • Current Administration and Policy-making Publisher assesses the threats to the continuity of economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark The Botswana’s risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
  • Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment, and to your company’s current operations and future plans.
  • Gain valuable insights into government and policy-making, through Publisher’s specialist team of analysts and economists, and their network of private and public sector sources.

Business Environment

  • Business Environment Risk Ratings with SWOT Analysis – Business environment Risk Ratings for The Botswana, benchmarked against ratings for regional neighbours.
  • Country Competitiveness – Competitiveness of The Botswana’s business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability, compared with regional neighbours.

Business Environment Contents

  • Domestic Environment – Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT.
  • Foreign Direct Investment – Analysis of foreign investment regime; foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors.
  • Foreign Trade – Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas.

Key Benefits

Assess your company’s evolving exposure to country specific operational and business risks, using Publisher’s in-depth analysis of the legal and regulatory business environment.

Understand your market’s comparative strengths and weaknesses in the key areas of commercial infrastructure and business institutions, using Publisher’s proprietary global Business Environment Risk Ratings.

Spanning over 33 pages, “Botswana Business Forecast Report Q1 2015” report covering the Executive Summary, Political Outlook, Long-Term Political Outlook, Economic Outlook, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, Balance Of Payments, Exchange Rate Policy, 10-Year Forecast, Operational Risk.

Know more about this report at – http://mrr.cm/Zry

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The Insurance Industry in Botswana, Key Trends and Opportunities to 2018, New Report Launched

The Botswanan insurance industry is dominated by the life segment, which constituted 70.0% of the total gross written premium. It was followed by the non-life segment with 28.6% and the personal accident and health segment with 1.4% at the end of 2013. Property insurance was the largest category in the non-life segment with 54.5% of its gross written premium, followed by motor insurance with 33.7% and liability, and marine, aviation and transit insurance with 9.0% and 2.9% respectively. Growth in the non-life segment was largely supported by diamond exports.

The report provides in-depth industry analysis, information and insights into the insurance industry in Botswana, including:

  • The Botswanan insurance industry’s growth prospects by insurance segments and categories
  • The competitive landscape in the Botswanan insurance industry
  • The current trends and drivers of the Botswanan insurance industry
  • Challenges facing the Botswanan insurance industry
  • Detailed regulatory framework of the Botswanan insurance industry

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the insurance industry in Botswana:

  • It provides historical values for the Botswanan insurance industry for the report’s 2009–2013 review period and forecast figures for the 2013–2018 forecast period.
  • It offers a detailed analysis of the key segments and categories in the Botswanan insurance industry, along with forecasts until 2018.
  • It covers an exhaustive list of parameters, including written premium, incurred loss, loss ratio, commissions and expenses, combined ratio, total assets, total investment income and retentions.
  • It profiles the top insurance companies in Botswana, and outlines the key regulations affecting them.

Reasons to Buy

  • Make strategic business decisions using in-depth historic and forecast industry data related to the Botswanan insurance industry and each segment within it.
  • Understand the demand-side dynamics, key trends and growth opportunities within the Botswanan insurance industry.
  • Assess the competitive dynamics in the Botswanan insurance industry.
  • Identify the growth opportunities and market dynamics within key segments.
  • Gain insights into key regulations governing the Botswanan insurance industry and its impact on companies and the industry’s future.

Key Highlights

  • Botswana’s diamond exports constituted one-third of government revenues and 80% of earnings from exports in 2013.
  • The Botswanan insurance industry is dominated by the life segment, which constituted 70.0% of the total gross written premium. It was followed by the non-life segment with 28.6% and the personal accident and health segment with 1.4% at the end of 2013.
  • According to the African Economic Outlook, Botswana was one of the least corrupt countries in Africa in 2013, followed by Namibia and Ghana.
  • A major challenge in Botswana is the country’s high unemployment rate, which stood at 17% in 2013.
  • As of 2012, there were seven life insurers and 12 non-life insurance companies operating in the country.
  • The life segment is highly concentrated, with the two leading insurers accounting for 87.9% of the total gross written premium in 2012. The non-life segment is also concentrated, with the top three insurers accounting for 59.2% of the total gross written premium in 2012.

Spanning over 150 pages, 103 Tables and 100 Figures “The Insurance Industry in Botswana, Key Trends and Opportunities to 2018” report covering Executive Summary, Introduction, Botswanan Insurance Industry Overview, Industry Segmentation, Governance, Risk and Compliance, Competitive Landscape, Economic Indicators, Appendix. This report Covered 5 Companies – Botswana Life Insurance Ltd, Metropolitan Life Botswana, Botswana Insurance Company Ltd, Zurich Insurance Company Botswana, Regent Insurance Botswana (Pty) Ltd.

For more information visit at – http://mrr.cm/Z6G

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Botswana Rough Diamond Production is expected to reach 32.2 million carats in 2020, Reveals New Report

The country’s rough diamond production is expected to reach 25.3 million carats by 2014 and 32.2 million carats in 2020. In 2009, the county’s diamond industry declined sharply due to the global economic crisis, emphasizing the country’s reliance on export demand, leading to a fall in rough diamond production. Botswana’s rough diamonds are mostly exported to the US, Europe and Japan. These three destinations made up 84.7% of the country’s total exports in 2012.

The ‘Precious Metals Mining in Botswana to 2020 – a Focus on the Diamond Industry’ report comprehensively covers the country’s historical and forecast data on diamond production, reserves and exports to 2020. The report also includes drivers and restraints affecting the industry, profiles of major diamond mining companies, and information on the major active projects and regulations governing the industry.

Scope

The report contains an overview of Botswana’s diamond mining industry together with the key growth factors and restraints affecting the industry. It also provides information about reserves, production, trade, competitive landscape, major active projects and the country’s mining fiscal regime.

Reasons to Buy

Gain an understanding of Botswana’s diamond mining industry, the relevant drivers and restraining factors, reserves, historical and forecast production, trade and the fiscal regime.

Key Highlights

  • Botswana is the world’s largest producer of diamonds by value, with diamonds accounting for 81% of total minerals contribution to country’s GDP and 98% of mineral revenue payable to the government in 2013.
  • The country’s rough diamond production is estimated to reach 25.3 million carats by 2014 and 32.2 million carats in 2020.
  • The relocation of the Diamond Trading Company (DTC) from London to Botswana in 2013 is an important step towards improvements in economic growth, job opportunities and investment.
  • Botswana’s mining industry is governed by the Ministry of Mineral, Energy and Water Resources (MMEWR) and sub-departments such as the Department of Geological Survey (DGS), the Department of Water Affairs (DWA) and the Department of Mines (DoM).

Spanning over 26 pages, Precious Metals Mining in Botswana to 2020 – a Focus on the Diamond Industry” report covering the Executive Summary, Precious Metals Mining In Botswana, Diamond Mining In Botswana – Reserves, Production and Trade, Competitive Landscape, Fiscal Regime, Appendix. The report covered 2 companies – Debswana Diamond Company (Pty) Ltd, Lucara Diamond Corp

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Market Research Reports, Inc. is the world’s leading source for market research reports and market data. We provide you with the latest market research reports on global markets, key industries, leading companies, new products and latest industry analysis & trends.